Fortune a Day - Recap - Week 11
15 Mar 2025 Reading time: 30 secondsHere’s my week 11 recap of my Fortune A Day project!
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Two More Polling Aggregates Show Approval In Freefall
13 Mar 2025 Reading time: 1 minute
I wrote an article about a week or so that showed 538 (the gold standard of polling aggregates) had shown that disapproval was now higher than approval, a stunning reversal from already drastically underwhelming starting net approval versus other presidents. There are other really bad sets of numbers that were just coming out that you should check out in that article if you haven’t already. Unfortunately, ABC has dropped 538 among other things as a cost cutting measure - so their stuff is now unavailable.
Now - a week later: Two other polling aggregates show disapproval is higher than approval.
Reminder - polling aggregates weigh a bunch of different polls, all of which you can see on the pages. Definitely click through if you’d like to see - both of these include GOP funded / sourced polls in their numbers.
VoteHub Polls
This one is an extremely large mover - from +17 approval to +0.4 disapproval! Wild.
RCP
RCP leans conservatively, but even there - disapproval outweighs approval now. And it is +0.7 disapproval (which is higher than VoteHub).
You marry these numbers with the weaker than expected jobs numbers that recently came out…. you have a rough situation.
Next I will be looking at the consumer sentiment numbers that are coming tomorrow, and some other economic indicators. Widespread tariffs just now going into effect will likely depress all of these numbers significantly over the next 3-6 weeks.
A Founding Father Quote a Day - Week 7
07 Mar 2025 Reading time: 1 minuteThis is the seventh recap of my new mini project, where I post a quote by a Founding Father each day to this Bluesky account.
“Liberty must at all hazards be supported. We have a right to it...“
”I like the dreams of the future better than the history of the past.”
“Freedom of speech is a principal pillar of a free government; when this support is taken away, the constitution of a free society is dissolved, and tyranny is erected on its ruins.“
“And liberty cannot be preserved without a general knowledge among the people, who have a right from the frame of their nature, to knowledge...“
“If virtue and knowledge are diffused among the people, they will never be enslaved.“
“Being ignorant is not so much a shame, as being unwilling to learn.“
”For as in absolute governments the King is law, so in free countries the law ought to be king; and there ought to be no other.”