Two More Polling Aggregates Show Approval In Freefall

I wrote an article about a week or so that showed 538 (the gold standard of polling aggregates) had shown that disapproval was now higher than approval, a stunning reversal from already drastically underwhelming starting net approval versus other presidents. There are other really bad sets of numbers that were just coming out that you should check out in that article if you haven’t already. Unfortunately, ABC has dropped 538 among other things as a cost cutting measure - so their stuff is now unavailable.

Now - a week later: Two other polling aggregates show disapproval is higher than approval.

Reminder - polling aggregates weigh a bunch of different polls, all of which you can see on the pages. Definitely click through if you’d like to see - both of these include GOP funded / sourced polls in their numbers.

VoteHub Polls

Source

This one is an extremely large mover - from +17 approval to +0.4 disapproval! Wild.

RCP

Source

RCP leans conservatively, but even there - disapproval outweighs approval now. And it is +0.7 disapproval (which is higher than VoteHub).

You marry these numbers with the weaker than expected jobs numbers that recently came out…. you have a rough situation.

Next I will be looking at the consumer sentiment numbers that are coming tomorrow, and some other economic indicators. Widespread tariffs just now going into effect will likely depress all of these numbers significantly over the next 3-6 weeks.